UFC Vegas 30 Betting Guide
This is a gross card. I wont take up much of your time. But this will be one I bet but am not going to be dialed in for.
Here are some specifics.The prelims start at 1pm and then the main card starts at 4pm. The entire card can be seen on ESPN+
I will give you my predictions in the order the fights are to take place. All odds are courtesy of Bet MGM. The King of Sports Books! For new users head on over there and use the promocode PatEgan and get your first bet RISK FREE up to $600
134-96-1 so far this year ( 41-27-1 on locks)
(9-3 l Forgot to write up about my #UFCVegas29 picks but hereβs the cliff notes:
Casey OβNeill
Joaquim Silva
Roque Martinez
khaos Williams
Virna Jandiroba π
Nick Negumereanu
Dhiego Lima
Bruno Silva
Seung Woo Choi π
Chito Vera π
Serghei Spivak
π°π· π§ββοΈ π
PRELIMS
Yancy Medeiros +125
Charles Rosa (lock) -160
Julija Stoliarenko+280
Marcin Prachnio -225
Warlley Alves -225
Shavkat Rakhmonov -300
Kennedy Nzechukwu (lock) -135
MAIN EVENT TIME
Renato Moicano VS Jai Herbert
I dont think Moicano is ever going to be the title contender we once thought he might when he was fighting at feather weight. but to me, this is nothing more than a get right fight for Moicano. Herbert got a tough “welcome to the UFC” debut when he got busted up by Francisco Trinaldo. And while I dont think Herbert is a bad fighter, I think hes got two tough draws to start his UFC career.
Renato Moicano (lock) -250
Tim Means VS Nicolas Dalby
Usually when a fight falls out and theres a last minute replacement its slightly “easier” (in theory) for the fighter who has been training the entire time. (once again, this is in theory.) UFC doesnt want to lose a fight so they give it to some hot shot on the regional circuit to make his debut. This, unfortunately, is NOT the case for Tim Means who originally was scheduled to fight Danny Roberts and has an even tougher fight after Nicolas Dalby took the fight on short notice. Nicolas Dalby is a problem. And with a full camp I probably would pick him. But I’ll go with Means based on the full camp and experience factor. Although I’m not super confident in it.
Tim Means -120
Andre Filli VS Daniel Pineda
I really think Pineda is going to grow from what happened in his fight with Cub Swanson. Pineda has plenty of pro-fights under his belt. but the level of the UFC is the best of the best. And he watched a dominating win turn bad FAST against Cub because he was gassed out. I dont think that will be a problem for him against Filli. Filli is legit. Crisp striking and a tough out. But I think Pineda gets back in the win column and proves that his win against Herbert Burns was no fluke
Daniel Pineda +190
Timur Valiev VS Raoni Barcelos
Valiev has been fighting at featherweight and he’s going back down to bantam weight for this fight. So theoretically he should be the bigger fighter entering the cage once he gets rehydrated after the cut. He also is just a better all around fighter than Barcelos. Valiev returns with the W
Timur Valiev +180
Ovince St. Preux VS Tanner Boser
I think it will benefit St Preux that he isnt cutting weight for this fight since its at heavyweight. His last foray into the heavyweight division didnt go his way. He looked slow, and tired. He claims that the same issues wont arise again. Boser is stepping in on short notice, having just fought 3 weeks ago in a fight that I personally thought he won. But I think he comes out and is eager to put St. Preux out quick and get his name back in contention talk. BUT I think St Preux uses everything in the tool box.
I wouldnt want to strike with Boser. Hes a crisp striker who has pin point accuracy. I think St Preux clinches against the cage, takes Boser down, and gets the submission victory.
Ovince St. Preux +150
Ciryl Gane VS Alexander Volkov
In his last fight Ciryl Gane proved he can take one of the divisions hardest punchers, going 5 rounds with Jairzinho Rozenstruik and making him look BAD. What impresses me about Gane is his poise in the octagon. He always looks like hes in control, and flowing. Its not like Volkov DOESNT hit like a Mack Truck, because he does. And his last fight against Alistair Overeem was super impressive. But I think Gane is going to continue to put the division on notice that he is one to watch.
Ciryl Gane (lock) -155
Since BET MGM is the king of parlay’s here is how the parlay odds look!
- If you take every one of my picks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you’d win $576,732 (+576623)
- If you just parlay the prelims, using all my picks and wagering $100 you would walk away with $6,728 (+6628)
- Parlay the main card, taking all my picks and wagering $100 you would cash in $8,571 (+8471)
- And if you just want to take my locks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you would win $651 (+551)
Odds subject to change. Good luck!
