LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 19: In this handout image provided by UFC, Colby Covington reacts after his TKO victory over Tyron Woodley in their welterweight bout during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on September 19, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

The bad blood gets settled at UFC 272 as Colby Covington goes against Jorge Masvidal. These guys were best friends, former teammates, turned enemies after Colby allegedly spurned a coach that Masvidal was close to for money. Eventually they were kicked out of their gym (ATT) which led Colby to join MMA Masters. They have jawed at each other quite a bit and it gets settled Saturday

Here are some specifics. The early prelims begin at 6:15pm with the prelims starting at 8pm and the main card begins at 10pm. Everything can be seen on ESPN+ for $74.99

I will give you my predictions in the order the fights are to take place. All odds are courtesy of Bet MGM. The King of Sports Books! For new users head on over there and use the promocode PatEgan and get your first bet RISK FREE up to $1K

36-28 this year. 12-6 on locks.

In 2021 I hit on 60% of picks. In 2021 I hit on 61% of “locks” (so a lot of people had keys to that lock.)

(6-5 last fight card. 2-1 on locks)

 

PRELIMS

Dustin Jacoby

Ľudovít Klein

Tim Elliott

Umar Nurmagomedov (lock)

Mariya Agapova

Kennedy Nzechukwu (lock)

Marina Rodriguez

Jamie Mullarkey

MAIN EVENT TIME

Sergey Spivac vs. Greg Hardy

Please enjoy the ending to Greg Hardy’s last fight

This is the last fight on his deal. And he has a huge size advantage against Spivac. Likely 25 or so pounds. He has the power advantage as well. And hes facing a guy in Spivac that has been knocked out in the past by heavy punchers. But Spivac has the experience. He also has a MUCH better ground game. The question is can Spivac get it to the ground. I dont know if he can. I think when these two get in the clinch, Hardy’s sheer strength wins that battle. But I will go Spivac just on gut and the experience factor. The path to victory is there for Spivac. And if hes able to wear Hardy out in the first round then by the third he will force the scum bag to tap out.

Sergey Spivac

Kevin Holland vs. Alex Oliveira

Im looking forward to seeing the advancements that Kevin Holland has made in his ground game. His striking is obviously there. But he has a few things going against him in this fight. The first is he is fighting a vet with 34 fights on his resume. The second is the weight cut. Holland is moving down to 170 and we dont know how the weight cut will effect him. But he will be the bigger fighter. If everything goes smoothly for Holland I think his power takes over. Cowboy Oliveira hasnt been knocked out since 2017 but Holland was knocking people out on a regular basis at 185. If he has a good weight cut, look out.

Kevin Holland

Edson Barboza vs. Bryce Mitchell

I love this fight. Vet vs. future. I look at Barboza as 3-1 at featherweight because you cant convince anyone except the three judges that Dan Ige won their fight. Bryce Mitchell is an absolute PROBLEM on the ground. He smothers opponents and breaks their will. Barboza is a brown belt in brazilian jujitsu. He is pretty familiar with what Mitchell wants to do. The problem to is getting Barboza to the ground. I love Bryce Mitchell. I cant wait to see where his career goes. I think Barboza kicks him until he falls. I would expect this fight to go like the Dan Hooker Barboza fight. Barboza is too quick, too fast, and too much for “Thug Nasty”

Edson Barboza (lock)

Rafael Dos Anos vs. Renato Moicano

Moicano is 4-1 at light heavyweight and is coming off an impressive win against Alex Hernandez when he made quick work of the former highly regarded prospect. He is stepping in on short notice to take on a former world champion at 155 pounds in Rafael Dos Anos. I was really excited to see the original matchup for this fight, Dos Anos vs. Rafael Fiziev. But Fiziev had to bow out for COVID and Moicano is game ready. The fight is taking place at a 160 pound catch weight which to me doesnt make much of a difference because Dos Anos has wins at 170. But I do think Dos Anos is basically cooked. The ground game of Moicano is negated by Dos Anos so I think its primarily going to be a stand up affair and I favor Moicano. I think Moicano has regained his form at 155 and with even less of a weight cut, I think he takes it on short notice.

Renato Moicano

Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal

Colby Covington’s trash talk is pretty cringe worthy. Its usually extremely forced and corny. But when it comes to the stuff he has said about Masvidal….its mostly true. Masvidal is a journeyman fighter. In my opinion, his best win came against Darren Till and in that fight he was getting hit early and often. Ben Askren was exposed in the UFC, and Nate Diaz isnt a natural welterweight so that fight played out as I expected. He then lost back to back title fights against Usman. But the level of competition that Masvidal has beaten in this quest to “baptise” the division has been…meh. Its the way he does it, and his antics after the fight that got him a title fight (shout out to the 3 piece and a soda promo.)

Covington I truly believe is the second best welterweight in the division. His departure from American Top Team led him to MMA Masters down the street and I saw an improvement in his game. Improvement in his striking. At ATT Colby was one of many. At MMA Masters is the show. Hes their cash cow. His game improved against Usman in the last fight, even though he lost.

I think this fight plays out EXACTLY like when Colby fought Dos Anos, and when he fought Robbie Lawler. Colby is going to push Masvidal up against the cage. Pick and pop up top, then go down low to take Masvidal down and wrestle him to death. Colby by submission and it wont be very competitive.

Colby Covington (lock)

 

Since BET MGM is the king of parlay’s here is how the parlay odds look!

  • f you take every one of my picks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you’d win $69,892 (+69792)
  • If you just parlay the prelims, using all my picks and wagering $100 you would walk away with $4,850 (+4750)
  • Parlay the main card, taking all my picks and wagering $100 you would cash in $1,440 (+1340)
  • And if you just want to take my locks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you would win $616 (+516)

Odds subject to change. Good luck!