LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 12: In this handout image provided by UFC, (L-R) Michelle Waterson kicks Angela Hill in a strawweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on September 12, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

The UFC is back with….a card….its a card. Look its not a great card but its a card where you can make some money off of it. So lets break down Rodriguez VS Waterson

Here are some specifics. The prelims kick off at 6:00 pm on ESPN+. The 6 fight main card starts at 8pm on ESPN and ESPN+.

I will give you my predictions in the order the fights are to take place. All odds are courtesy of Bet MGM. The King of Sports Books! For new users head on over there and use the promocode PatEgan600 and get your first bet RISK FREE up to $600

96-63-4 so far this year ( 30-17-3 on locks)

(5-5-1 last fight card. 3-2 on locks)

 

PRELIMS

Christian Aguilera +145

Jun Yong Park +115

Mike Trizano +200

Kyle Daukas -130 (lock)

 

MAIN EVENT TIME

Amanda Ribas VS Angela Hill

Amanda Ribas was on the fast track to a title shot, until she ran into the headliner on this card, Marina Rodriguez. Hill is attempting to get back contender status of her own, having gotten back into the win column in her most recent fight against Ashley Yoder. But Hill is that fighter that I think will peak as a top 5 fighter, but never get over the hump to a legit title contender spot. Ribas on the other hand needs to learn from her mistake last fight (basically, dont get caught.) Where Ribas might fall into trouble is Hill’s pacing on the feet. Hill will look to keep distance and pick Ribas apart from the outside. But I think Ribas will be too much for Hill. Ribas gets it done by submission

Amanda Ribas -200 (lock)

Diego Ferreira VS Gregor Gillespie

By far the hardest fight on the card to pick, and thats why Id suggest you dont even bet it, and simply enjoy the fight. Gregor Gillespie is an absolute BEAST as a wrestler. He mauls people. Smothering them and ragdolling them to victory after victory. But we havent seen him since running into Kevin Lee’s shin way back November of 2019. Has he improved in his striking? I suppose we’ll find out.

On the other side of the cage is Diego Ferreira who is one of the most underrated lightweights in the world. The guy gets no love for whatever reason. And under normal circumstances id favor Ferreira. But Ferreira had a BAD “weight cut.” He missed by four and a half pounds. which is why i use the quotation marks for weight cut. Because You have to ask yourself if he even tried. Most fighters say its the final four pounds that really MAKES the weight cut. So Gillespie is coming into this fight, facing one of the most underrated lightweights in the world, and the guy has an immediate size advantage.

Diego Ferreira +140

Maurice Greene VS Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Usually heavy weight fights are must see TV but this one is one where you can likely go to the bathroom during this because these two just dont do it for me. Ill go Greene because hes more consistent, but we should know pretty early on who is going to win this fight. Both of these fighters have a tendency to throw up absolute duds and not look ready on fight nights. So whomever looks to win round 1, will likely win the fight.

Maurice Greene +170

Neil Magny VS Geoff Neal

Neil VS Neal action here folks. Neil Magny looked like a new fighter since joining Elevation Fight team. He rattled off 3 straight unanimous decision victories until he ran into Michael Chiesa who just threw him around for 3 rounds. Magny wont have to worry about that with Geoff Neal. Because Geoff Neal is coming to turn your lights off. And if he gets you, youre likely going to sleep.

But Magny is the better all around fighter to me. I think Magny keeps his distance using his lanky frame, and hes able to pick Neal apart and frustrate him. I like Neil to defeat Neal

Neil Magny +165

Donald Cerrone VS Alex Morono

I write about this seemingly once a week. “There are levels to this game.” and right now, Alex Morono isnt it. Morono is the type of fighter that Cowboy Cerrone usually feasts on. Because Morono has never faced a guy of Cerrone’s pedigree before. The pure level of competition these two have faced isn’t even close. And whenever Morono does get the opportunity to jump into legit top 10 status, he loses.

There are levels to this game. And Morono aint on the same level as Cowboy

Cowboy Cerrone -200 (lock)

Marina Rodriguez VS Michelle Waterson

Marina Rodriguez put a halt to the Amanda Ribas hype train in her last fight. She was a heavy underdog and she dropped Ribas. Putting the world on notice. She enters this fight as a heavy favorite. And I guess at 13-1-2 that helps your case. But whats forgotten about the Ribas fight was that Rodriguez was getting WORKED in round 1. She couldnt handle Riba’s ground game at all.

Now Michelle Waterson isnt Amanda Ribas on the ground. But she also isnt the novice that Amanda Ribas was on the feet either. I think Waterson is the better all around mixed martial artist. Rodriguez’ striking is super crip. And in the later rounds I probably favor Rodriguez. But I think Waterson gets Rodriguez down in the early rounds. Tiring her out. Controlling her. And wins a 48-47 victory.

Michelle Waterson +175

 

Since BET MGM is the king of parlay’s here is how the parlay odds look!

  • If you take every one of my picks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you’d win $297,061 (+296691)
  • If you just parlay the prelims, using all my picks and wagering $100 you would walk away with $2,795 (+2695)
  • Parlay the main card, taking all my picks and wagering $100 you would cash in $10,625 (+10525)
  • And if you just want to take my locks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you would win $398 (+298)

Odds subject to change. Good luck!