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LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - APRIL 30: In this UFC handout, (L-R) Opponents Dominick Reyes and Jiri Prochazka of the Czech Republic face off during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on April 30, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

The UFC has a great free card this weekend with UFC Vegas 25. The card has a really strong main card headlined by Dominick Reyes VS Jiri Prochazka

Here are some specifics. The prelims kick off at 7:00 pm on ESPN2 And ESPN+. The 6 fight main card starts at 10pm. Thats the one negative. Because Im not as young as I used to be and this will probably end at 1am. So grab a coffee

I will give you my predictions in the order the fights are to take place. All odds are courtesy of Bet MGM. The King of Sports Books! For new users head on over there and use the promocode PatEgan600 and get your first bet RISK FREE up to $600

91-58-3 so far this year ( 27-15-3 on locks)

(10-3 last fight card. 4-0 on locks)

PRELIMS

Luke Sanders -140

Andreas Michailidis -225

Loma Lookboonmee -375 (lock)

Randa Markos (not available for some reason)

Kai Kamaka III -150

 

MAIN EVENT TIME

Poliana Botelhovs VS Luana Carolina

Carolina is a solid prospect but hasnt shown any real ground game. And if this is standing than Botelhovs will dominate, if not outright finish Carolina. Not much else to say. I expect this to be pretty one sided.

Poliana Botelhovs -275 (lock)

Cody Staman VS Merab Dvalishvili

Everyone thinks they have good ground game in the 135 division, until they meat Merab. You hear it every fight from his opponents that they plan to stuff the take down and not get manhandled. Its a similiar rhetoric we used to hear when fighters were preparing for Khabib. This fight will be no different than Merab’s last 5 fights. He will maul Staman on the ground. Smothering him, and make life hell. All on his way to a very convincing 30-27 victory. Staman’s best hope is to crack Merab early with a big shot. But I think Merab takes his time, shoots, and Staman never gets back up to his feet.

Merab Dvalishvili -250 (lock)

Sean Strickland VS Krzysztof Jotko

Strickland has been so fun to watch since moving to 185. I love the fact that this fight is in the Apex because you can hear Strickland talk, and thats been half the entertainment level of his recent victories against Brendon Allen and Jack Marshman. His boxing has looked super crisp. And hes yet to be in danger. I expected him to dominate Marshman but the Allen victory was super impressive.

On the flip side Jotko is…..meh. Hes the MMA version of milk toast. But hes the bigger fighter so he would hope that will be an advantage for him. Fact is, if Jotko can get this up against the cage its going to be a pretty boring affair. I dont see that happening. I see Strickland keeping his distance and picking Jotko apart

Sean Strickland -300 (lock)

Ian Cutelaba VS Dustin Jacoby

Ian Cutelaba did it again! He tried really hard to intimidate his opponent. This time it was Dustin Jacoby. It didnt work for him last time when he lost (twice) to Magomed Ankalaev and I dont see it working now. Ian Cutelaba is not exactly a composed fighter. He rushes towards you and tries to get you out of there as fast as possible. It makes him a prime candidate to be countered. Jacoby will counter. He will finish.

Dustin Jacoby +105

Cub Swanson VS Giga Chikadze

Its unfortunate, but its the reality. Cub Swanson has become a gate keeper. Ortega, Moicanao, Burgos, Gracie, and most recently Daniel Pineda. And while Cub ended up pulling out an incredible victory against Daniel Pineda, Pineda was piecing Cub up. Cub was able to weather the storm and grab a finish. But that first round was rough.

Giga has been on a tear of late, and the reason I favor Giga is his kickboxing ability. Pineda showed that you can chew Cubs lead leg up. I expect Giga to follow Pineda’s lead. Chewing cubs leg up while keeping the distance and piecing Cub apart from the outside.

Giga Chikadze -185

Dominick Reyes VS Jiri Prochazka

Jiri Prochazka came into the UFC from RIZN with a whole bunch of hype. And boy did he live up to it by knocking out vet Volkan Oezdemir. But the fight wasnt flawless. Jiri showed a willingness to get hit. He played with fire a little too much. It was painfully noticeable. And I dont expect him to fight Dominick Reyes with his hands down, but you wonder if the fight goes on and he gets fatigued does he revert back to his hands by his side. If he does, than he will be staring at the ceiling

Dominick Reyes took Jon Jones the distance in a fight that many thought he won. He followed it up by looking horrible against now champion Jan Blachowicz. I think that was a one off for Reyes. I think Prochazka is going to have his day in the UFC, but its not today. I think Reyes reminds everyone that hes a top lightweight in the world tonight. Putting on a really impressive performance and getting a finish late.

Dominick Reyes +105 (lock)

 

Since BET MGM is the king of parlay’s here is how the parlay odds look!

  • If you take every one of my picks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you’d win $8,614 (+8514)
  • If you just parlay the prelims, using all my picks and wagering $100 you would walk away with $522 (+422)
  • Parlay the main card, taking all my picks and wagering $100 you would cash in $1,647 (+1547)
  • And if you just want to take my locks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you would win $660 (+560)

Odds subject to change. Good luck!