UFC Vegas 51 Betting Guide
Usually we dont get the BEST cards following a PPV, but the UFC is coming out with a sneaky good card following UFC 273. The issue is the fights will be going on during the Sixers game, but hey! There’s always half time!
Here are some specifics. The prelims start at 5:30 with the main card kicking off at 8:30. All of the action can be seen on ESPN+
I will give you my predictions in the order the fights are to take place. All odds are courtesy of Bet MGM. The King of Sports Books! For new users head on over there and use the promocode PatEgan and get your first bet RISK FREE up to $1K
66-49 this year. 22-13 on locks.
In 2021 I hit on 60% of picks. In 2021 I hit on 61% of “locks” (so a lot of people had keys to that lock.)
(8-4 last fight card. 3-1 on locks)
PRELIMS
Kevin Croom
Istella Nunes (lock)
Trey Ogden
Martin Buday
Jesse Ronson
Drakkar Klose (lock)
Lina Lansberg (lock)
Devin Clark
Mounir Lazzez
MAIN EVENT TIME
Pat Sabatini vs. TJ Laramie
Pat Sabatini IS A PROBLEM. While he doesnt have a ton of knockout power, he doesnt need it. Because when the fight goes to the ground its usually a wrap. His ground game is elite and hes shown it early on in his UFC career with a heel hook against Jamall Emmers. The rest of his fights are spent smothering his opponents while trying to get them to quit. This should be a walk in the park for Sabatini
Pat Sabatini (lock) -500
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Yanan Wu
This is a gross fight because Yanan Wu is not a UFC caliber fighter. And this will be her final fight in the promotion. Its not like Bueno Silva is some world beater but shes better than Wu. I think eventually Beuno Silva gets it to the mat and takes advantage of the 25 year old Wu, getting her to submit and sending her back to the regional scene
Mayra Bueno Silva (lock) -500
Andre Fialho vs. Miguel Baeza
Miguel Baeza looked like he was poised to be one of the bigger successes from the Contender Series. He started off with 3 straight wins including one against veteran Matt Brown. All 3 wins were finishes and with an undefeated record he was thought of as one of the better welterweights in the division. And then the wheels came off. Two straight loses to Santiago Ponzinibbio and Khaos Williams. Williams was his first knock out loss. This just feels like a get right fight. Fialho is 4 losses on his record and two are from being knocked out, which Baeza posses knock out power. Biggest lock of the night and if it doesnt vest then it may be time to put Baeza in pink slip territory…
Miguel Baeza (lock)-185
Caio Borrahlo vs. Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
How is this the co-main event?! A contender series alum (Borrahlo) making his UFC debut vs …..a contender series alum making his UFC debut. Dont bet this fight, I am not, because I have NEVER seen either of these two fight. Be better UFC
Caio Borrahlo? +115
Vicente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad
Now this is a great matchup. Both fighters are on a nice streak with Luque winning his last four, the most recent coming against Michael Chiesa. Muhammad has 6 wins in his last 7, with the other fight being a no contest after a NASTY eye poke. This is very close but Luque has had success against wrestlers. Muhammad is an elite wrestler but if hes able to stuff takedowns and make Muhammad stand with him, he could be in trouble.
Vicente Luque -190
Since BET MGM is the king of parlay’s here is how the parlay odds look!
- f you take every one of my picks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you’d win $132,389 (+132283)
- If you just parlay the prelims, using all my picks and wagering $100 you would walk away with $18,185 (+18085)
- Parlay the main card, taking all my picks and wagering $100 you would cash in $727 (+627)
- And if you just want to take my locks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you would win $1,464 (+1364)
Odds subject to change. Good luck!
