UFC 273 Betting Guide
What a card we have this weekend! UFC 273 with 2 title fights AND Khamzat?! Yes please! I shouldnt have to say much more so I wont.
Here are some specifics. The early prelims begin at 6pm with the prelims starting at 8pm and the main card starting at 10pm. Everything can be seen on ESPN+for $69.99
I will give you my predictions in the order the fights are to take place. All odds are courtesy of Bet MGM. The King of Sports Books! For new users head on over there and use the promocode PatEgan and get your first bet RISK FREE up to $1K
58-45 this year. 19-12 on locks. (it has been a SLOW start in 2022)
In 2021 I hit on 60% of picks. In 2021 I hit on 61% of “locks” (so a lot of people had keys to that lock.)
(7-6 last fight card. 2-2 on locks)
PRELIMS
Julio Arce
Kay Hanson
Anthony Hernandez
Aleksei Oleinik (lock)
Mickey Gall
Raquel Pennington
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (lock)
Ian Garry
MAIN EVENT TIME
Vinc Pichel vs. Mark Madsen
Pichel is going to get taken down. Because Madsen, the Olympic wrestler, takes down everyone. It takes some time but eventually he gets you to the mat. He barely squeaked out a win against Clay Guida and I think that fight was an eye opener for Madsen who knows he needs to improve the striking in order to open up the take downs. I like Pichel. Hes a fun fighter to watch and he will land. But Madsen has a chin and this fight goes like all the other fights with Madsen. Madsen getting his hand raised
Mark Madsen (lock) +110
Mackenzie Dern vs. Tecia Torres
Mackenzie Dern is one of the hottest prospects in MMA but this is a TRUE test for Dern. Torres has lost to only the best of the best. 4 of her 5 losses were to champions/former champions. But Dern has shown tremendous growth in her striking since linking up with Jason Parillo at RVCA. To quote Joe Rogan (when speaking of literally EVERY prospect) “everytime we see her she gets better.” This is truly a pick em’ and I will go Torres keeps distance and wins the standup battle and winning via decision
Tecia Torres +100
Gilbert Burns vs. Khamzat Chimaev
Chimaev has absorbed as many strikes as he has had fights in the UFC…..ok I may be making that up but it isnt far off. Chimaev is the hottest prospect the sport has ever seen. Demolishing the competition and making it look EXTREMELY easy. Its only a matter of time before he is fighting for a belt and with a win against Burns theres a good chance that his next fight is for just that. But Gilbert Burns isnt Li Jingliang. But the step up in competition is warranted because of the way Khamzat is destroying guys. If he is able to do to Burns what he has done to EVERYONE else then just hand him the belt.
But Burns is different in the sense that he is VERY comfortable fighting off his back. He also packs a power punch that Chimaev hasnt seen before. His previous opponents have had the ability to hurt him, but Burns has the ability to put Chimaev to sleep. With all of that said, I think Chimaev wins. I dont think he steam rolls Burns, but I think he finishes him. It would be interesting to see this fight go to round 2 or 3 and see how Chimaev’s gas tank holds up, because weve never seen it. But I have to ride the hot hand
Khamzat Chimaev -550
Aljamain Sterling (C) vs. Petr Yan
Petr Yan is like Floyd Mayweather in the sense that he digests fight data in the early rounds and then has you figured out and goes to work. Thats what he did to Sterling. Sterling came out like he was shot out of a cannon which isnt surprising considering how quickly he submitted Cory Sandhagen. Sterling was out there to make a statement. But after the adrenaline dump of being in his first title fight, Yan went to work. He was piecing Sterling up on the feet until the untimely illegal knee that earned Sterling the belt. Nothing tells me this fight will be much different. I dont think Sterling slows down like he did in the first fight because I do expect him to be much more patient, but Yan by decision
Petr Yan (lock) -500
Alexander Volkanovski (C) vs. Chan Sung Jung
I am a HUGE Korean Zombie fan. I have a Korean Zombie T-Shirt. His fighting style is so much fun to watch. Jung coming out to “Zombie” by the Cranberries gives me chills. But he is going against an absolute buzz saw in Alexander Volkanovski. Alexander The Great has defeated Max Holloway twice and a third fight was scheduled until Holloway had to pull out. In came the Zombie. While I love Zombie, and I will be cheering for him, I dont think he is on Volkanovski’s level. Volkanovski’s striking, footwork, gas tank….hes next level. Jung has upped his game since joining the camp “Fight Ready” but even with all the resources they have, I dont see anyone not named Max Holloway beating Alexander Volkanovski
Alexander Volkanovski (lock) -800
Since BET MGM is the king of parlay’s here is how the parlay odds look!
- f you take every one of my picks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you’d win $47,098 (+46998)
- If you just parlay the prelims, using all my picks and wagering $100 you would walk away with $7,667 (+7567)
- Parlay the main card, taking all my picks and wagering $100 you would cash in $614 (+514)
- And if you just want to take my locks and parlay them on BetMGM, wagering $100 you would win $910 (+810)
Odds subject to change. Good luck!
