Why People Need To Shut Up About The Phillies Strength Of Schedule
The Phillies are playing the best baseball we have seen them play in a long time. That isn’t an opinion, it is a fact backed up by the stats. Through 51 games, they have the best record in franchise history. But there is one bugaboo. The Phillies strength of schedule.
If you dare to show excitement or joy about the Phillies’ great start, people will pour out of nowhere to tell you the Phillies’ Strength of schedule is terrible. They haven’t played any good teams. It is not just National media types or rival fans either. Local fans are using it as an excuse to put their own team down.
But I have one request for all of them. Please shut up. The shut up part may feel rude, but I also said please, so I think it evens out. Please shut up about the Phillies Strength Of Schedule.
The Phillies Strength Of Schedule Lacks Context
Yes, if you look at their strength of schedule, they haven’t played many “good teams.” They are 4-2 against teams .500 or higher. They played the Braves, and the Padres, that is it.
The problem is there aren’t many good teams for them to play. Look around the NL. How many teams can you call good? There are 6 teams with a record of .500 or higher in the NL. 6 out of 15. Obviously, 1 of those are the Phillies themselves. That leaves 5 of the other 14 teams at .500 or better.
There are not many good teams period for teams to play.
The Phillies Dropped Teams Under .500
The Phillies swept the Giants over 4 games. Outside those 4 games the Giants are 25-22. Outside the Phillies, the Padres are 26-23. The Rangers are 24-24 outside of the Phillies, and are the reigning champions.
The Phillies are knocking these teams under .500. If you count the teams the Phillies pushed under .500, the Phillies are 11-2 against teams .500 or better.
When you sweep team after team, the teams who play you tend to have a worse record. It’s important context people leave out when they bring up the Phillies Strength of Schedule.
They May Not Be Playing Great Teams, But They Have Faced Great Pitchers
Okay, they have not played many “great teams”. There are about 6 teams I would call great, but let’s put that aside for now. They have played some great pitchers.
The Phillies have faced 7 of the top 25 pitchers in terms of ERA. Mind you another 3 of those top 25 are on the Phillies. But of the other 22, they have faced almost a 3rd of them. Chris Sale, Jon Gray, Jordan Hicks, Austin Gomber, Jose Berrios, Dylan Cease, and Logan Webb.
I realize those are not all big names. But in terms of early-season production, they are top 25 in ERA. Those 6 pitchers have an ERA of 7.02 against the Phillies. Only Cease pitched at least 6 innings, and they all gave up at least 2 runs.
Once again, this is the context you leave out when you bring up the Phillies Strength of Schedule.
The Phillies Are Crushing Teams
If The Phillies were squeaking by bad teams, these people might have a point. But that is not the case. They are crushing the teams in their path.
They haven’t lost a series since April 3rd. They have 6 sweeps. They have the most runs in baseball and the 5th fewest earned runs.
Going into the final game vs the Rangers, they had a +90 run differential. That is 11 runs better than the next-best team. After finishing the sweep, it is a +93 run differential.
In the past, we saw them play down to competition. That is not the case in 2024. They are rolling over teams. Even the better teams they have played, like the Padres, Giants, and Rangers, they ran through. They went out to San Diego, outscored the Padres 23-10, and swept them. The same Padres team that took 3 of 4 from the Braves in Atlanta.
We Don’t Want To Hear About The Phillies Strength Of Schedule
So save it. If the words strength of schedule is going to come out of your mouth, consider shutting up instead. Because 1) we don’t want to hear it, and 2) it makes you sound dumb. It ignores all available context.
The Phillies Strength of Schedule is an argument that only someone who has not watched a single game can make. Because the second you watch them, or add any context, it falls apart. This Phillies team is just that good.
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11 Best Trades in Philadelphia Phillies History
11. The Hefty Lefty
Phillies Get: Jose Alvarado
Los Angeles Dodgers Get: Garrett Cleavinger (from Phillies)
Tampa Bay Rays Get: Dillon Paulson, player to be named later (from Dodgers)Philadelphia teams seem like they’re always the ones who give up too soon and trade talented young players who haven’t reached their full potential. Jose Alvarado reversed the trend.
The Hefty Lefty accepted a demotion to the minors in 2022 and recreated a power sinker. He returned to the majors and stepped into one of the most important high-leverage roles on the way to a World Series appearance in 2022.
He’s now one of the strongest power arms at the back of the Phillies bullpen.
Garrett Cleavinger still has the potential to match Alvarado, but the Phillies got the best immediate return from the trade.
10. An Apology From The White Sox?
July 27, 2007
Phillies Get: Tadahito Iguchi
Chicago White Sox Get: Michael DubeeWhat did the Phillies send to the White Sox for a lineup regular with .278 and .281 respective batting averages in his only two full MLB seasons? Michael Dubee, pitching coach Rich Dubee’s son, a Single A pitcher who ultimately never made it to the major leagues.
Why would Chicago GM Kenny Williams trade Tadahito Iguchi? It makes a little more sense in the big picture. The Phillies also acquired Freddy Garcia from the White Sox the previous offseason. Landing an expected ace was a big part of the reason Jimmy Rollins spoke so confidently about “the team to beat” in the NL East.
It turned out to be one of the worst trades in franchise history. Garcia pitched 11 games in his only season in Philadelphia. The injuries that kept him off the mound very well might’ve existed before the trade.
“That was a gift to Pat Gillick because Kenny Williams felt bad for (trading) Freddy Garcia (to the Phillies)… It was like two baseball men doing each other a solid.” -Jim Salisbury
According to Gillick’s former assistant GM, The Phillies essentially picked up Tadahito Iguchi as an apology from Kenny Williams and the White Sox.
“I’ve got to believe that they’re had to be something to that (granting the favor) because there was some question about the medicals on Freddy that we checked out, but (the information was) maybe a little shady.” –Ruben Amaro Jr.
Iguchi hit .304 in 45 games to finish the 2007 season. He played an everyday role for the first month while Utley sat. He later moved into a bench role after the everyday second baseman reentered the lineup.
Iguchi famously slid into home on Utley’s walk-off hit in an August thriller against the New York Mets that helped the historic NL East comeback.
9. A 43-Year-Old From Waivers
August 19, 2006
Phillies Get: Jamie Moyer
Seattle Mariners Get: Andy Baldwin, Andrew BarbThe MLB Trade Deadline used to allow for waiver deals during the month of August. Before the overdue rule change, Pat Gillick landed Jamie Moyer for two minor leaguers in August 2006.
Moyer never had head-turning velocity in his previous 20 seasons of major league experience, so his age didn’t factor into his ability to pitch much. He began his stint in Philadelphia at age 43 and remarkably made 118 starts in five seasons.
The local kid from Souderton and Saint Joseph’s University became one of the feel-good stories of the 2008 World Series. Neither Baldwin nor Barb ever played in an MLB game.
8. Saying Goodbye To A "Can't Miss" Prospect
February 7, 2019
Phillies Get: J.T. Realmuto
Miami Marlins Get: Sixto Sanchez, Jorge Alfaro, Will Stewart, international bonus slot moneyThe class of free agents entering the 2019 season forced a domino effect on the entire sport. The Phillies were desperate for a superstar to reestablish themselves as a contender after a long period of dormancy.
They lured Bryce Harper by trading for the best catcher in baseball. Matt Klentak sent stud pitching prospect Sixto Sanchez to the Marlins for J.T. Realmuto.
Realmuto became a key piece in the miracle ride to the World Series in 2022. Sixto Sanchez had drawn comparisons to Pedro Martinez, but injuries derailed the early years of his career.
Stewart never made it to the major leagues. Alfaro spent some serviceable seasons with the Marlins, but he never approached the caliber of Realmuto.
7. Clifton Phifer Lee (Part I)
July 29, 2009
Phillies Get: Cliff Lee, Ben Francisco
Cleveland Indians Get: Carlos Carrasco, Lou Marson, Jason Knapp, Jason DonaldThe chatter leading up to the MLB Trade Deadline in 2009 focused on Roy Halladay. Could the Phillies land the best pitcher in the game and repeat with another World Series?
Instead, Ruben Amaro Jr. traded for Cliff Lee. The nonchalant Arkansas native looked effortless and unaffected by the pressure of the MLB postseason during a run to the World Series in 2009.
The rest of the starting rotation struggled to make it through a deep playoff run. Lee won both of his starts against the New York Yankees, but the Phillies lost in six games.
The Phillies missed out on a long career from Carlos Carrasco. However, it’s all relative to the risk of aggressive trade deadline spending in a window of World Series contention.
Although the trade only kept Lee in Philadelphia for a few months, the instant dynamic with the fan base played a major factor in convincing him to sign with the Phillies before the 2011 season.
6. A New Uniform Can Change An Attitude
June 18, 1989
Phillies Get: Lenny Dykstra, Roger McDowell, Tom Edens
New York Mets Get: Juan SamuelIt’s funny how a new uniform can change the fans’ attitude about a guy. Phillies fans hated Lenny Dykstra as a member of the Mets. Nails was the grinder who got under opponents’ skin on the way to a World Series in 1986.
His gritty style transferred over with a division rival after the deal. Dykstra hit over .300 in three of his first four seasons in Philadelphia, and he became a major catalyst for the 1993 National League champs.
Roger McDowell also spent time at the back end of the bullpen in parts of three seasons. He saved 44 games for the Phillies before they traded him again in 1991.
Juan Samuel had some good seasons with the Phillies in the early part of his career. However, he only played 86 games for the Mets after the trade before moving to five other MLB teams to finish his career.
5. Unknown Youngster Bobby Abreu
November 18, 1997
Phillies Get: Bobby Abreu
Tampa Bay Devil Rays Get: Kevin StockerThe Phillies swindled the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in 1997 when they acquired 23-year-old Bobby Abreu after just 64 career major league games.
Say what you want about Abreu. His demeanor never clicked in Philadelphia. He wasn’t a great outfielder (although he strangely won a Gold Glove in 2005). The decision to trade him for a minimal return in 2006 proved to be addition by subtraction.
Don’t let that make you forget his offensive production.
He sits 11th in Phillies history with 195 home runs and seventh in stolen bases with 254. His outstanding .303/.416/.513 slash line would make modern MLB front offices gush.
Stocker helped the Phillies to the World Series in his rookie season in 1993, but he only played three more MLB seasons after the deal. He hit .237 collectively with the Devil Rays and the Anaheim Angels.
4. The Future Ace
April 2, 1992
Phillies Get: Curt Schilling
Houston Astros Get: Jason GrimsleyThe Baltimore Orioles and the Houston Astros couldn’t unlock Curt Schilling’s talent early in his career. He hit his stride after a deal to the Phillies in 1992.
Schilling established himself at the top of the rotation for the 1993 National League champions. He became the unquestioned ace during the mid and late 1990s, but the fading talent around him ultimately led to his departure.
The Phillies enjoyed the benefits of an excellent talent for nine seasons, but they let him get away to win three World Series in two other uniforms.
Grimsley pitched in the majors for 12 more seasons. He became a respectable journeyman reliever, but his accomplishments pale in comparison to Schilling.
3. A Philadelphia Legend
December 16, 2009
Phillies Get: Roy Halladay, cash
Toronto Blue Jays Get: Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor, Travis d’ArnaudThe prospect experts loved Kyle Drabek. It seemed daring to deal a top young pitcher with tremendous potential, but Roy Halladay was available.
Ruben Amaro Jr. landed the long-time Blue Jays ace at age 32. Halladay announced his unrelenting mission for dominance with a perfect game less than two months into his Phillies tenure.
He only started 108 regular-season and playoff games in parts of four seasons for Philadelphia. However, two elite seasons in 2010 and 2011 and his frightening competitive spirit put him in franchise folklore.
Drabek never spent a full season in an MLB starting rotation. He demonstrated how uncertain prospect projections can be and the value of aggressive moves for teams with a window for World Series contention.
While d’Arnaud turned into a solid major leaguer, the Phillies will never regret sending him away.
2. Perfection in 2008
November 7, 2007
Phillies Get: Brad Lidge, Eric Bruntlett
Houston Astros Get: Michael Bourn, Geoff Geary, Mike CostanzoA monstrous three-run blast from Albert Pujols in the 2005 NLCS supposedly ruined the psyche of All-Star closer Brad Lidge.
Former Phillies GM Ed Wade dealt Lidge to the Phillies in the deal that catapulted them to their second World Series. Pat Gillick sent back a package centered around Michael Bourn.
Lidge’s glory didn’t last long in Philadelphia. He blew 11 saves in 2009 and never regained a rhythm afterwards.
However, 48 saves in 48 chances had already solidified his place in franchise history. The Phillies wouldn’t have won the World Series in 2008 without Brad Lidge. Eric Bruntlett also played a solid role as a utility man and defensive replacement.
Bourn became an excellent base stealer for the Astros. He stole 61 in 2009, 52 in 2010, and 61 in 2011. He carved out a solid 11-year career.
Geary spent two seasons with the Astros. Costanzo only played 17 career MLB games.
1. Landing Lefty
February 25, 1972
Phillies Get: Steve Carlton
St. Louis Cardinals Get: Rick WiseRick Wise made his first of two MLB All-Star teams in 1971 in the last of his seven seasons in Philadelphia. He’ll never have much association in franchise history for that because fans remember his name as the guy the Phillies traded for Steve Carlton.
Carlton had developed into a 20-game winner early in his career with the Cardinals, but John Quinn stole him in 1972.
Lefty came out fast with a 27-10 record and a 1.97 ERA in his first season with the Phillies. He won the first of his four CY Youngs and laid the groundwork to become the best pitcher in franchise history.
Wise pitched well in two seasons with the Cardinals. He hung around for nine more years in the majors after leaving St. Louis.
The Phillies weren’t worried about what they gave up. What they got back was plenty to keep them happy.
They immortalize Steve Carlton with a statue outside Citizens Bank Park.
