97.5 The Fanatic Phillies Notebook: Feasting On MLB’s Weakest
Six April series have passed, and the Philadelphia Phillies have climbed back to the position they occupied for most of the 2023 MLB season. An 11-8 record has landed them in second place in the National League East.
A loaded starting rotation has sparkled. The early-season outrage has quieted down. A slow-starting offense is heating up, yet Nick Castellanos still has a cringy .159 batting average.
Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Citizens Bank Park)
- Thursday 4/11: Win 5-1
- Friday 4/12: Loss 5-2
- Saturday 4/13: Win 4-1
- Sunday 4/14: Loss 9-2
Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies (Citizens Bank Park)
- Monday 4/15: Win 2-1
- Tuesday 4/16: Win 5-0
- Wednesday 4/17: Win 7-6
Feast On An Easy Schedule
The Phillies entered a 10-game homestand at Citizens Bank Park with a 6-6 record. Three underwhelming opponents looked like they’d provide the opportunity to steer the ship in the right direction.
While the cross-state Pittsburgh Pirates have started well in a surprisingly competitive NL Central, the Phillies shouldn’t be thrilled with a series split. They blew a chance to put a strong punctuation mark on the Bucs with Zack Wheeler on the mound for the fourth and final game of the series.
The Colorado Rockies and the Chicago White Sox are a different story. Not many teams can challenge their positions in the bottom tier of MLB teams.
The Phillies needed a lucky call on a bizarre play at the plate to steal the first game against Colorado. Luckily, 6-foot-5 righty Jeff Hoffman doesn’t mind a little contact. The home team asserted their dominance in the final two games of the series. Philadelphia’s bats woke up in 5-0 and 7-6 victories.
"I wish baseball was more of a contact sport!"
— NBC Sports Philadelphia (@NBCSPhilly) April 16, 2024
Jeff Hoffman discusses the wild play at the plate in the 9th. pic.twitter.com/jhN3YuZbTS
The White Sox own sole possession of the worst record in the majors, just ahead of Colorado. Opposing pitchers astonishingly shut the South Siders out in six of their first 16 games to begin the season.
The Phillies consider themselves World Series contenders. They should focus on going for the jugular at the easiest point of their schedule to keep pace with an Atlanta Braves team that’s off to a fast start.
Nick Castellanos Struggling
The Phillies started slow on offense. Whether it was bad weather, rust, or just dumb luck, the collective slump has faded.
However, Castellanos limped through another rough night on Wednesday against the Rockies. He finished 0/4 with two strikeouts, and the home crowd even began to murmur some boos after his final two at-bats.
The empty stat line dropped him to .159 on the season. He ranks 186th of 189 qualified major league hitters in OPS. The organization’s offseason emphasis on cutting down their offensive chase rate could be affecting Castellanos’ aggressive approach.
Rob Thomson admitted before Wednesday’s game that he has considered sitting Castellanos for a game, but he spoke confidently about his right fielder.
“He’s been through this before. When you start the season like this, it’s really magnified. When you go through something like this in July, it’s not as magnified. I check in with him every day.” -Rob Thomson
The Phillies skipper keeps a patient and collected approach when his players struggle. While it doesn’t always satisfy frustrated fans, his strategy has helped the Phillies to deep playoff runs in his only two seasons as an MLB manager.
Nick Castellanos could benefit from natural progression back toward his career batting average and other statistics if just a few breaks go his way.
He has hit just .229 on balls in play this season. His career average on balls in play in 11 previous seasons was .331. His hard hit rate is a tick below his All-Star season in 2023, but it’s still in the neighborhood of his career average.
Both rates point to a hitter who hasn’t benefited from many fortunate early-season bounces. Thomson is right to stay optimistic about the hero of the 2023 NLDS.
Starting Rotation
The Rockies couldn’t solve Phillies starting pitchers during the three-game set. Aaron Nola went into the eighth inning in the first game of the series, and Cristopher Sanchez allowed only one unearned run in the finale.
However, it was Ranger Suarez who stole the show on Tuesday night. The newest fan favorite cruised through the Colorado lineup with ease. His efficiency carried him to a complete game shutout, Philadelphia’s first since Michael Lorenzen’s no-hitter in August 2023.
Entering play on Wednesday, the Phillies starting rotation ranked third in the majors in ERA and WAR. They also sat tied for the major league lead in innings pitched.
- Zack Wheeler: 3.00 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 11.3 SO/9
- Aaron Nola: 3.47 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 7.3 SO/9
- Ranger Suarez: 1.73 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 9.3 SO/9
- Cristopher Sanchez: 2.53 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.7 SO/9
- Spencer Turnbull: 1.80 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 9.6 SO/9
*MLB averages in 2023: 4.09 ERA, 1.30 walks and hits per innings pitched (WHIP), 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings pitched (SO/9)*
Rob Thomson also has the luxury of a deep bullpen. While Gregory Soto had a rough night to let the Rockies hang around in the series finale, the Phillies will rely on their cast of relievers as a team strength all summer.
Looking Ahead
The White Sox will make their only trip of the season to Philadelphia to close the homestand. The Phillies will start Spencer Turnbull in Friday’s opener followed by their top two on five days rest.
- Friday 4/19: Spencer Turnbull vs. Garrett Crochet (1-2, 3.57 ERA)
- Saturday 4/20: Zack Wheeler vs. Mike Soroka (0-2, 6.98 ERA)
- Sunday 4/21: Aaron Nola vs. Nick Nastrini (0-1, 3.60 ERA)
They’ll hit the road next week for 10 away from Citizens Bank Park, including seven in the Western time zone.
All stats via Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs, unless otherwise noted.
The only teams in MLB history to be shut out 6 times in the first 16 games of a regular season:
— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) April 16, 2024
1907 Brooklyn Superbas
2024 Chicago White Sox pic.twitter.com/B33Myik7Sb