Ranger Suarez Looks Poised For a Great Season in 2024
Ranger Suarez has been very good for the Phillies these past few years. Ever since he moved into the starting rotation, his numbers have been amongst the best for lefty starters in the league. In the playoffs, he has been even better. His 1.69 playoff ERA is 16th in MLB history amongst starters with at least 30 innings pitched. Which makes it odd to say he might break out this season. But he might be ready to take his game to another level.
Spring Training stats aren’t exactly reflective of what will happen in the regular season. But through 4 starts and 15 IPs, Ranger Suarez has given up 0 earned runs. More important than how sharp he looks though, is that he is available at this time of the year. In his career, he has made 4 starts in March or April. Visa issues and injuries have plagued the start to his past two seasons. He is ready this season though. Ranger is not only here, but he is healthy. He is getting a jump start he has never gotten to this point in his career.
Matt Gelb from The Athletic joined The Best Show Ever, and talked about how encouraging Ranger Suarez has been in Spring:
“Even if he had a 5.5 ERA, you’d be happy about him getting 4 starts in Sring Training… This is a guy who is always starting late… He looks like he is ready. Does that mean he will be better this year? I don’t know. But it is better for the goal of him getting 170 innings. He has never gotten there. He has never made 30 starts in the majors. These are all milestones they would like him to reach. They are encouraged. He has probably been the best development for them in Spring.”
The one thing that has limited Ranger Suarez to this point has been availability. As Gelb mentioned, his innings and games pitched have been limited. He pitched past the 6th inning just 7 times last year. but maybe being ready earlier, and having better conditioning, is the key to unlocking a new part of his game. He might never be the innings eater Wheeler or Nola are. But can he more consistently give you 6? Can he get past 5 in the playoffs?
Ranger Suarez One Of The Best Lefties in Baseball?
When Ranger has been on, he is one of the best Leftys in baseball. That’s not hyperbole. Jayson Stark told us that himself back in June.
“I would be hard pressed to think of 5 left handers in the sport you would rather have on the mound than this guy. The last 3 seasons the only left handers in baseball with lower ERAs than him are Carlos Rodon, Max Fried, and Shane McClanahan. Then it is Ranger and Kershaw tied at 2.80. That is pretty incredible.
He is back to October Ranger. Maybe even 2021 Ranger. It is incredible to see. He throws 5 pitches. Right now he dots them wherever he wants. There is no hard contact on anything. The hitters don’t seem like they can recognize what is coming. They chase the sinker, the changeup, and the curveball over and over again. He has changed the way you would look at this whole team.”
Those numbers might have changed a bit since then. Ranger had a rough month of July following Stark making those statements. But the sentiment remains the same. When Ranger is on, there are few left-handers as capable as him.
The Phillies Rotation Might Be Special
This has the making of a special season for Ranger Suarez. For once, he is ready to go right from the start of the season. The Phillies know they have a true Ace in Zack Wheeler. Aaron Nola has been a bit more of a wild card. We have seen him look great, we have seen him struggle. But he tends to have his best seasons, coming off of those bad seasons. So he may be poised for a great bounceback season. They also have Cristopher Sanchez who is coming off a breakout year and could be poised to take the next step as well.
If Ranger takes the next step as well, we might be talking about the Phillies having the best rotation in baseball.
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6 Phillies Who Could Have Breakout Seasons in 2024
Brandon Marsh
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It is time to unleash Marsh as a full-time player and see if he sinks or swims. He was one of their more consistent hitters last season. But Rob Thomson often sat him vs lefties. Granted his numbers vs lefties left a bit to be desired. But a slash line of .229/.321/.396/.717 was still better than what their platoon options gave them. We saw Thomson give Stott more run against lefties last year, now it is time to end the platoon with Marsh. He earned that chance last year with his production.
The injury may change the timetable on him playing every day. And them signing Whitt Merrifield is likely a sign that at least to start the season, Mars will sit vs lefties. But at some point we need to see what he is capable of.
Cristopher Sanchez
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When Cristopher Sanchez came up to fill in for the Phillies rotation last year, the expectation was that it would be a temporary band-aid until they could find a more long-term solution. But then he actually pitched well. He kept pitching well till the end of the season. To be honest, he was likely their most consistent starter in the 2nd half of the season. Thomson did not give him much of a chance in the playoffs. Just one start with a very short leash. But even in that game he pitched well considering. Now he may be ready to be a real starter for them.
What led to him getting so much better? He seems to have found his command. He was throwing a lot more strikes, and his 30.1% called strike rate was amongst the best in baseball. He also took a lot off of his changeup and added more spin on his slider. He is still throwing the same pitches, but they all got better, and he commanded them better. Which bolds well for it being real progress, and not just blind luck.
Orion Kerkering
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Orion Kerekring was so good in the minors last year, the Phillies were willing to give him a role in the playoffs with pretty much no MLB experience. It did not go very well. Part of that may be his inexperience, but the Phillies also made him throw way too many sliders. But despite his struggles there, he still figures to be a big part of the bullpen this upcoming season. And there is good reason to think he will do very well there.
In 53.2 innings down in the minors, he struck out 79 batters with only 12 walks. He had a 1.512 ERA, and a WHIP of only 0.89. He was filthy. When you watch him pitch, it is easy to see why. His fastball touches 100, and his slider has crazy moment. Kerekering has the stuff to be a closer. That is why MLB Execs recently voted him as the 4th best future closer among all MLB prospects.
Johan Rojas
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Johan Rojas quickly made himself into a fan favorite last season when he came up in August. He played gold glove-caliber defense and was a terror on the basepaths. But we saw in the playoffs that his bat is still a work in progress.
If he can learn to make contact, and just put the ball in play, he has a chance to be a special kind of player. The gold glove thing is not an exaggeration. He finished 14th in Defensive Runs Saved among all Major League players despite only playing 59 games. If he plays a full season, he will absolutely be in the running for the award. That speed pays off on the bases too with 14 steals.
They don’t even need him to be a good hitter. Just be an okay one. Put the ball in play and have a better approach at the plate. In the playoffs, he swung at everything. If he can be more patient, draw some walks, and find ways to get on base, that is all he needs to do. The Phillies have enough pop elsewhere. They just need him to not be a liability at the plate and that will be enough given how great his glove is.
Seranthony Dominguez
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This is more of a bounce-back candidate than a breakout candidate. But expect Dominguez to be much better this year. He was a huge part of their run in 2022. Injuries and fatigue caused him to have a down 2023. Like most relief pitchers, he can be a bit volatile. Only a select few guys are great or even good every season. And in his defense, 2022 was a huge leap in innings pitched after how much time he has missed in his career. Now he should be used to it though. And hopefully, that means we will see him be much closer to his 2022 form.
Mick Abel
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This one is more wishful thinking than based on anything concrete. But despite still not putting together a great season in the minors, scouts sing the praises of Mick Abel, because his stuff could be that good. At 21 it is probably time that his stuff starts to lead to great results though.
He will not be with the team at the start of the year. But there is next to no chance they make it through the season without an injury or two in the rotation. And with Painter recovering from Tommy John, and Griff McGarry imploding after he got to Lehigh Valley last year, it very well may be Mick Abel who gets that chance to make the jump. And like we saw with Rojas last year, a small chance can turn into a spot on the team if you play well enough.
