Will Phillies Use ‘Closer By Committee’ After Carlos Estevez Trade?
Dave Dombrowski struck again just days ahead of the MLB Trade Deadline on July 30. The Philadelphia Phillies have acquired Carlos Estevez from the Los Angeles Angels for minor league pitchers Sam Aldegheri and George Klassen.
The Phillies landed one of the top relievers on the market with a significant track record as a closer. Will the addition put an end to the “closer by committee” approach Rob Thomson has used with his bullpen?
Carlos Estevez
Estevez saved 20 games in 23 chances for the Angels this season. He’s established himself as a reliable closer with an 87.9% percentage in save opportunities in his only two seasons in Southern California.
Estevez trudged through six seasons with the Colorado Rockies from 2016-2022. His 4.59 career ERA didn’t look too appealing, but Coors Field also hasn’t been too friendly to pitchers.
The right-hander has posted a 2.38 ERA in 34 games in 2024. His 0.74 WHIP ranks third among qualified MLB relievers, and he’s walked just three batters all season (unintentionally).
His average fastball has clocked at 96.4 miles per hour in 2024, ranking in the 88th percentile of MLB pitchers. Dombrowski spoke highly of Estevez’s competitive attitude joining a World Series contender.
“He’s got an above average fastball. He’s got a plus slider. He’s a bulldog on the mound. He’s a guy that has developed a change-up.” -Dave Dombrowski
Closer By Committee?
Despite Estevez’s high save totals, neither Dombrowski nor Thomson would commit to their new right-hander as the designated closer.
He’ll most likely join the competition for high-leverage postseason innings that will go to the Phillies relievers in the best rhythm.
Thomson’s rotation worked in 2022 when five different pitchers recorded one save apiece on the way to a World Series appearance. Craig Kimbrel converted his first three save opportunities during the 2023 playoffs, but he lost trust in the ninth inning with two rough outings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Jose Alvarado and Jeff Hoffman have alternated in save opportunities for most of the 2024 regular season.
Thomson spoke on July 20 about establishing a bullpen hierarchy before Red October.
“I think that’s a flowing thing all throughout the year because guys get hot (and) guys get cold. You’re constantly sort of feeling that out and trying to make sure that you put guys in the right spot where they’re going to be successful or where you think they’re going to be successful and making sure you’re not overusing guys or underusing guys. It’s a constant battle just to try to create that balance.” –Rob Thomson
Phillies Bullpen
A bullpen loaded with power arms and nasty stuff has hit a serious speed bump. They’ve lacked command of the pitches that have helped them establish reputations as high-leverage relievers capable of erasing opposing hitters.
The Phillies entered play on July 14 third in the majors in bullpen ERA. They dropped to 16th entering play on July 27.
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Dombrowski dealt Seranthony Dominguez as part of the trade that brought over Austin Hays from the Baltimore Orioles. The subtraction of a veteran reliever provided a clear indicator that another trade was coming.
Despite the recent slump, the Phillies feel comfortable in their relief pitchers to regain form. They expect lefties Jose Alvarado, Matt Strahm, and Gregory Soto and righties Jeff Hoffman and Orion Kerkering to pitch in high-leverage situations during the postseason. Now, Carlos Estevez joins the mix.
Merit-Based Bullpen
Dombrowski and Thomson estimated that Estevez will pitch in the ninth inning a good amount. If he shows the ability to secure the coveted closer designation, the Phillies will give him the label happily entering Red October.
Thomson and the Phillies have taken the “closer by committee” approach because they’ve believed it’s the best option for the team at given points. However, they haven’t demonstrated a mindset that they’re decidedly stuck on this approach.
They’ve instead shown the willingness to grant high-leverage opportunities based on merit.
Hoffman didn’t appear in an MLB game in 2023 until May. He somehow surpassed Dominguez in the right-handed hierarchy by the end of the regular season.
Alvarado struggled to begin the 2022 season so badly that the Phillies optioned him to Triple A in May. He quickly proved he deserved the biggest spots available for lefties during the run to the World Series just a few months later.
Dombrowski’s move to acquire a pitcher qualified to close for a postseason team adds another ingredient of talent to the mix for Thomson.
The Phillies believe in Thomson’s merit-based rotation to reveal the best option. If Carlos Estevez is the the best option to pitch the ninth inning of a postseason game, he’d theoretically show his manager with a strong performance in high-leverage innings in the final months of the 2024 regular season.
If he doesn’t prove he’s capable of a closer designation, expect to see the “closer by committee” approach during the playoffs.
“The reality comes down, for me, we wanted the best guy to give us a chance we felt to win this year. There might’ve been some guys that maybe we could’ve gotten from (longer options for club) control but we didn’t think were as good (of) pitchers to win in the postseason… We just felt he’s the right guy.” -Dave Dombrowski on acquiring Carlos Estevez