Jalen Carter Didn’t Deserve the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Award
After the first half of the 2023 season, Jalen Carter looked like a lock for NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year. The hype surrounding the 9th-overall pick skyrocketed.
The former standout for the Georgia Bulldogs finished his first five NFL games with 3.5 sacks, four tackles for loss (TFL), and two forced fumbles. It appeared the Eagles had somehow drafted a rookie game-wrecker after a Super Bowl appearance.
Will Anderson took home the hardware instead. He improved steadily throughout the season, and he recorded four sacks and nine quarterback hits in his final four regular-season games.
The missed opportunity for a league award doesn’t define Carter. However, it should tell Eagles fans just how underwhelming Carter’s performance was down the stretch in 2023.
Jalen Carter
Carter recorded just 2.5 sacks and four TFLs in his final 11 games after the hot start.
His entire body of work in his first NFL season looks fairly impressive. He finished third in sacks, third in TFLs, and fourth in quarterback hits on a team with big names across their defensive line. Carter still finished second in voting for the Defensive Rookie of the Year Award. However, scrutiny of the timeline is necessary to understand the deeper context of his rookie season.
Early in the season, Carter looked poised to establish himself as an immediate star in the NFL. Barrett Brooks spoke on 97.5 The Fanatic when the Eagles were 5-0. He lauded the rookie for playing like a savvy veteran handling the game plans that offensive coordinators threw at him.
“When I say refined, a guy that understands what offenses are trying to do to him and how he can then counter that. That’s what I thought about him while he was in college… That’s what makes him as good as he is at this point in his career. He sees what you’re trying to do to him, and he can do exactly the opposite and make you wrong when you’re trying to do it.” -Barrett Brooks
It seemed like he would follow the blueprint of Fletcher Cox, who emerged as Philadelphia’s top defensive tackle by the end of his rookie season in 2012 despite accomplished veterans on the roster. The presence of Cox also looked like it was helping Carter and teammate Jordan Davis grow as NFL players who could responsibly handle their conditioning and diets.
The Rookie Wall
The notion of a rookie wall might sound like a reasonable way to analyze a player adjusting to the NFL. However, the circumstances early in the season certainly didn’t seem like they were aligning for Jalen Carter to hit a rookie wall.
Carter offered very little impact while the Philadelphia defense went down in flames late in 2023. The Eagles could’ve used a spark from their younger standout players at the end of the season. Instead, aging franchise heroes like Cox and Brandon Graham were the ones making plays in the NFC Wild Card Round.
Carter and the other young players offered little solution after the promotion of Matt Patricia as the primary decision-maker on defense. The Eagles slipped to a 29th-overall finish in defensive DVOA.
Their run defense looked like a strength as a top-ranked unit early in the season thanks to Carter and Davis. They slipped to a 23rd-overall finish. The embarrassment peaked when the lowly Arizona Cardinals gashed the Eagles with 221 yards on the ground in Week 17.
A player who looked like he had the DROY wrapped up early in the season was suddenly nowhere to be found.
Eagles Land Vic Fangio
The Philadelphia defense has a fresh start with Vic Fangio, who the Eagles consider a premium choice as an NFL defensive coordinator.
Fangio should use a lot of 3-4 packages featuring an athletic tackle like Carter on the outside of a three-man front and outside linebackers rushing the passer beside him. His value will increase if he’s also able to eat up double-teams to help the run defense.
The Eagles heavily prioritize pass rushers on the interior. They’ve spent premium picks on Carter, Davis, and Milton Williams in three consecutive drafts. The priority aligns with Fangio’s goals on defense. The new scheme could benefit Carter for a more impactful breakout season in 2024.
Some people might point to the rookie wall, but Carter left plenty of meat on the bone during his rookie season. If he can’t reach a new level with Fangio in charge, there will be no excuses next season.
Jalen Carter didn't win DROY, but he was so good this season:
— Brenden Deeg (@BrendenDeeg_) February 9, 2024
- 50 pressures
- 9 QB hits
- 8 TFLs
- 6 sacks
Sky is the limit for this kid. He’ll win DPOY one day. pic.twitter.com/sGGjetQp78