Stay Or Go: Will Brandon Marsh Be Back In 2025?

The Phillies season is over. After finishing with the 2nd best record in baseball, they were the first of the teams who earned the bye week to be sent home. The Mets ran right over them, the way the Phillies had run over the Braves the past two years. Guys like Alec Bohm, Brandon Marsh, JT Realmuto, Trea Turner, and Kyle Schwarber, were mostly no-shows. The bullpen imploded. And now it is over.

It leaves the question of what they do next. Do they blow it up? Will this roster be shaken up after yet another playoff choke?

We are going to run through some of the names on this roster whose future here looks murky. Leaving out the names that will obviously stay like Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and others who are locked up long-term.

We already looked at the future of Alec Bohm, now let's look at his fellow daycare member, Brandon Marsh.

The biggest problem with Brandon Marsh is the fact they can't trust him to play against lefties. His career slash line against lefties is .216/.276/.306/.582. That is really bad, and it is not getting any better. This season his slash line vs lefties was .192/.270/.282/.552.

His numbers vs righties are good. But are they good enough to make it worth platooning? Even against righties, he was inconsistent. He had 2 great months, a couple of okay months, and 2 months where he was near unplayable.

If they could find the righty bat to go with him, maybe it could work. But they have tried it for a few years now, with multiple righty bats, and it just hasn't worked.

Ideally, you would have a full-time player in left field. Someone with a more consistent bat, ideally one more dangerous. Think about the guys they had in left the two years they won. Pat Burrell and Greg Lusinski. Does Marsh scare you the way those guys do? No. His glove is better than theirs, but it's not like he is an elite OF. There are too many mental mistakes out there for him to be called a great outfielder.

Dave Dombrowski spoke to the media and was asked about the outfield. He sure did make it sound like they still like Brandon Marsh in left, and Nick Castellanos in right. There is someone left out of that, who we will eventually get to, but first, let's talk about what that means for Marsh.

Based on that, you would think the stay-or-go answer is simple. He will be back. Dombrowski seemed to suggest a lot of things will stay the same.

The question is if that is just GM talk. Keeping things close to his vest. Last year he showed some of his cards. He criticized Nick Castellanos openly, making people think they would move him. They tried to move him, but no one bit. Maybe because he had made it so clear they wanted to move him.

You wonder if this year he is just not saying anything, because he doesn't want to show his hand.

Left Field is the one place you can see them improving. They are locked in most places. But they have no commitment to Marsh, and LF is a place with viable options. Tyler O'Neill, Anthony Santander, and Jurickson Profar are all options who would play every day. Cody Bellinger is a Center fielder but could play left.

Dombrowski said one thing, but I still think Marsh will be a guy they try to replace. It is the most obvious move to make. But maybe that is just wishful thinking. Will he be off the team? Maybe not. But he won't be as big of a piece as he was these last 3 years.

Philadelphia fans, like most fans, love it when a local kid comes up and does well with the team. Think of how much Phillies fans have coveted Mike Trout over the years. It's not just because he is a great player, but because he grew up in the area, and is a Eagles fan. Someone being from the area, and a fan of the same teams we love, just makes it that much easier to root for them. The same goes for Kobe Bryant during his career.

As a city, we love our own. We even went crazy when Smarty Jones won the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes. If you are from Philly, South Jersey, or Delaware, we will get behind you.

But what if we could only have local players? What if there was no such thing as a draft or free agency, and players just had to play for whoever the closest team to you was? How would our teams look? Would they actually turn out well, or would we be stuck wishing that we could mix in some guys from New York, California, and Texas?

I put together how our local teams would look if only the local players were allowed to play for them. Starting with the Phillies. And trust me, after seeing this roster, you will be happy that is not the case. Philadelphia is not exactly the place to be if you are a baseball player. The weather does not lend itself to playing baseball year-round.

But with that said, we have a few guys from the local area who went on to be solid to great players. Is their presence enough to carry the rest of the roster? Or would the Phillies be doomed to mediocrity despite their presence? The criteria to make the team is that your hometown has to be closer to Philadelphia than any other team's city. So some of these guys may be from places that feel more like New York than Philly. But because they are closer on the map to Philly, they count for the Phillies.

As you can see, we are not off to a good start. Gallagher, from Lancaster, PA, was the best local catcher I could find. Gallagher has been a backup in the league for a while now. Last year he played in Cleveland and caught 56 games. His on-base percentage was under .200. He is decent behind the plate though. Not exactly the most inspiring of starts to building a roster. But he is at least an MLB player. Our other option was bringing 43-year-old Eric Kratz out of retirement.

If we were building an All-Time roster they could have had Mike Piazza, who is from Norristown, or Roy Campanella, who is from Germantown. But if we are building a roster of players who could still play today, the options are very slim.

It is not all bleak for this version of the Phillies. Walker is one of the best 1st basemen in the league. Both at the plate, where he has 69 HRs over the past two seasons, and with the glove, where he won the past two Gold Gloves. Walker is a great bat to build your lineup around. Having him batting 4 or 3rd is a good start. And given some of the other guys they will have at the top of this lineup, they may actually score some runs. They just won't get any help from the back half of their lineup.

A lot of people probably don’t know who Jake Alu is. But to be fair, last year was his first season, and he was on a Nationals team no one wanted to watch play. So why would people know his name yet?

His rookie season didn’t go great, but he had very little help around him. Alu looked like a solid player while down in the minors. He could turn into one in the Majors. But if he is your best option to play 2B, you have an issue. I tried to find a 2nd baseman better, or any middle infielder better. But I could not find one. So the Phillies wind up banking on Alu to grow into something.

Okay, Wendle is solid. Not a star by any means. But given what the Phillies are working with, they will take it. Last year he was bad, but he is a .260 career hitter and has decent speed. The Phillies could do a lot worse. That much is clear from some of the other spots in their team in this hypothetical. In an ideal world, Wendle is more of a backup. But the Phillies have to take what they can get.

The Phillies hero returns. Gosselin spent a couple of seasons here and was Joe Girardi’s favorite player in 2020. And there were some real bright spots, including a 2-HR game. It led to Joe Girardi overusing him, as he loved to do with bench players. But if you got sick just watching him play vs every lefty, get ready to see him as an everyday player. Sadly he was the best active player I could find from the area who can play 3rd base.

Finally, another good player. We saw the Westchester native rob the hopes and dreams of Phillies fans in the World Series. His catch was one of the best you will ever see in the World Series. Too bad it hurt his hometown team. Then he went on to have a very solid season in 2023. 22 HRs, 19 steals, and an OPS of .842. Not to mention a solid glove in the Outfield.

We finally come to the best player we have from the area. Trout’s career has taken a bit of a left turn with all the injuries he has suffered. But even with that, he is still among the league's best players. And at one point he was without a doubt the best player in the league. Were Trout a Phillies player, he would be in that Chase Utley category of not being able to do any wrong in the eyes of fans. He is a guy Phillies fans have coveted for years. And it would maybe be the only good thing that would come out of this hypothetical.  

And we are back to mediocrity. Like Gosselin, Jankowski was once a beloved role player for the Phillies. Well for a bit, until it became clear that he was not all that good and was eventually released. He had a couple of big moments here and continues to be a role player bouncing from team to team. And were he just a 4th or 5th OF, you could deal with him. But in this case, he is one of your starting Outfielders. Not great.

Paul Goldschmidt did not grow up a Phillies fan. But he was born in Wilmington Delaware. So he is a local even if he doesn’t like our Baseball team. And he is easily one of the best baseball players we have a claim to. Even at 35, he is still putting up numbers. He has a very good chance to pass 400 HRS. And that goes with his 4 gold gloves, his MVP, 7 All-Star Appearances, and 5 Silver Sluggers. Were he still in his prime, he would be the first baseman. But at this point, Walker has the better glove. So Goldy becomes a very good DH.

Well at the very least you have a great Ace. Gallen was a Cy Young Semi-Finalist. He struggled a bit more in the playoffs, especially against the Phillies. But still, he is one of the top pitchers in the MLB right now. He had a 3.47 ERA last year and a 2.54 ERA in 2022. No one would complain about him being your Ace. Unfortunately, the rest of the pitching staff is not quite so great.

Charlie was on the border between being more of a New York local or Philly local. But his hometown of Flemington NJ was just a tiny bit closer to Philly than to NYC, so he becomes the Phillies second starter behind Gallen. The 40-year-old has been a solid starter in the MLB for a while. Even last year he finished with an ERA under 4. Not exactly the ideal 2nd starter. But given the talent Pool the Philadelphia area has, we will take it.

In 2022 Ross Stripling was great, finishing with a 3.01 ERA while pitching in the AL East. Since then, and in most years before that, he was nowhere near that good. He turned that into a deal with the Giants, and his ERA ballooned to 5.36. Stripling was great in his first 4 seasons with the Dodgers. In each of those 4 seasons, his ERA was under 4. But in 3 of the 4 seasons since, his ERA was over 4, including 2 where it was over 5. Not ideal.

Porcello is out of the league. But in this hypothetical league where you can only use local players, he would probably still be around. Porcello put together a solid career. But in his ERA eclipsed 5.0 in each of his final seasons. The Phillies would be desperate though. There are not many great pitchers from our area to select from. So welcome back to the MLB Porcello.

Now we are really scrapping the bottom of the barrel. It is one thing to bring Rick Porcello, who was at one point a solid starter, out of retirement. It is another thing to take a guy who was never very good to begin with out of retirement. But he was the 5th best starter from our area I could find, who could feasibly still pitch. So here we are. Gallen, Morton, Stripling, Porcello, and Biddle is your rotation. The top 3 would not be the worst top 3 of a rotation in the league.

Well, maybe their bullpen can make up for the starters? Not likely. The bullpen they would put together would make those Gabe Kapler bullpens from a few years ago look great. Chad Kuhl was the best guy I could find that Philly would have a claim to. Chad Kuhl. If you are wondering who that is, you are not alone. Kuhl had an ERA over 8, and a WHIP just below 2 this season. And he is the best guy I could find. The other options would all be guys from the Minor Leagues mostly.