The Phillies Bullpen Is Already Fantastic, Numbers Don’t Lie

After Sunday's loss, where Gregory Soto and Jose Alvarado both blew leads, there was some panic about the Phillies bullpen. They need to make a trade, people said. Jose Alvarado is not consistent, people also said.

The problem with this type of talk though, is it ignores reality. Outside of that one game, the Phillies bullpen has been as good as it gets. that's not my opinion, it is an objective reality based on every single metric we judge bullpens by. The numbers don't lie.

Don't believe me? Let's get into those numbers, and see just how good the Phillies Bullpen is.

Apparently, one bad outing makes Alvarado inconsistent, and hard to trust. But let's actually look at what he has done this season.

The lefty has given up 11 earned runs this season. That doesn't sound like a great season, but 7 came in just 2 games. 5 on opening day, 2 in London. otherwise, he has pitched 26.2 innings and gave up 4 runs.

It doesn't get much more consistent than that. Even if you count London, that is an ERA of 1.93.

So he had 2 bad games and has otherwise been amazing. How is that inconsistent? People overreacted to 1 bad outing, when he hadn't pitched in nearly a week, and obviously had to travel a long way.

Alvarado has been amazing this season. Panicking about 1 bad outing, compared to him having an ERA of 1.35 in his last 28 outings, is frankly dumb.

Related: Jose Alvarado Is Fantastic, So Why Are Fans Mad About 1 Game?

The bullpen got off to a shaky start. Opening Day was a disaster. Guys like Connor Brogdon, Nick Nelson, and Ricardo Pinto dragged them down early in April.

But if you just look at the guys still on this team, and take away Opening Day, this bullpen has been as good as any in baseball.

The guys still on the roster, have a 2.15 ERA since Opening Day. The Yankees have the best bullpen ERA in the league this year at 2.88. Now the Yankees might be lower too if you take out certain guys who were cut, or remove their worst outing. The point is that outside of one awful outing, the Phillies bullpen is one of the best in all of baseball.

Could they still add a bullpen arm? Sure, you can always be better. One guy you might want to improve upon is Gregory Soto, who has actually been consistent. Otherwise, Alvarado, Matt Straham, Jeff Hoffman, and Orion Kerkering have been fantastic.

Seranthony Dominguez struggled in April. Since May 1st, his ERA is 0.80. He has given up 1 earned run across 11.2 innings in that time. Then there is Jose Ruiz, who no one was expecting anything from, who has a 1.88 ERA in 14 innings.

They are also awaiting the return of Yunior Marte who had a 2.7 ERA in 13.1 innings before his injury.

So why does this bullpen need help? They might not have traditional roles like your normal bullpen, but they have the arms. They have more high-end bullpen arms than arguably any team in baseball.

So calm down, look around in this bullpen, and realize that is already elite. if they do go out and get help, it would only be to make it that much better, not to fix some make-believe hole certain fans have imagined.

Philadelphia fans, like most fans, love it when a local kid comes up and does well with the team. Think of how much Phillies fans have coveted Mike Trout over the years. It's not just because he is a great player, but because he grew up in the area, and is a Eagles fan. Someone being from the area, and a fan of the same teams we love, just makes it that much easier to root for them. The same goes for Kobe Bryant during his career.

As a city, we love our own. We even went crazy when Smarty Jones won the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes. If you are from Philly, South Jersey, or Delaware, we will get behind you.

But what if we could only have local players? What if there was no such thing as a draft or free agency, and players just had to play for whoever the closest team to you was? How would our teams look? Would they actually turn out well, or would we be stuck wishing that we could mix in some guys from New York, California, and Texas?

I put together how our local teams would look if only the local players were allowed to play for them. Starting with the Phillies. And trust me, after seeing this roster, you will be happy that is not the case. Philadelphia is not exactly the place to be if you are a baseball player. The weather does not lend itself to playing baseball year-round.

But with that said, we have a few guys from the local area who went on to be solid to great players. Is their presence enough to carry the rest of the roster? Or would the Phillies be doomed to mediocrity despite their presence? The criteria to make the team is that your hometown has to be closer to Philadelphia than any other team's city. So some of these guys may be from places that feel more like New York than Philly. But because they are closer on the map to Philly, they count for the Phillies.

As you can see, we are not off to a good start. Gallagher, from Lancaster, PA, was the best local catcher I could find. Gallagher has been a backup in the league for a while now. Last year he played in Cleveland and caught 56 games. His on-base percentage was under .200. He is decent behind the plate though. Not exactly the most inspiring of starts to building a roster. But he is at least an MLB player. Our other option was bringing 43-year-old Eric Kratz out of retirement.

If we were building an All-Time roster they could have had Mike Piazza, who is from Norristown, or Roy Campanella, who is from Germantown. But if we are building a roster of players who could still play today, the options are very slim.

It is not all bleak for this version of the Phillies. Walker is one of the best 1st basemen in the league. Both at the plate, where he has 69 HRs over the past two seasons, and with the glove, where he won the past two Gold Gloves. Walker is a great bat to build your lineup around. Having him batting 4 or 3rd is a good start. And given some of the other guys they will have at the top of this lineup, they may actually score some runs. They just won't get any help from the back half of their lineup.

A lot of people probably don’t know who Jake Alu is. But to be fair, last year was his first season, and he was on a Nationals team no one wanted to watch play. So why would people know his name yet?

His rookie season didn’t go great, but he had very little help around him. Alu looked like a solid player while down in the minors. He could turn into one in the Majors. But if he is your best option to play 2B, you have an issue. I tried to find a 2nd baseman better, or any middle infielder better. But I could not find one. So the Phillies wind up banking on Alu to grow into something.

Okay, Wendle is solid. Not a star by any means. But given what the Phillies are working with, they will take it. Last year he was bad, but he is a .260 career hitter and has decent speed. The Phillies could do a lot worse. That much is clear from some of the other spots in their team in this hypothetical. In an ideal world, Wendle is more of a backup. But the Phillies have to take what they can get.

The Phillies hero returns. Gosselin spent a couple of seasons here and was Joe Girardi’s favorite player in 2020. And there were some real bright spots, including a 2-HR game. It led to Joe Girardi overusing him, as he loved to do with bench players. But if you got sick just watching him play vs every lefty, get ready to see him as an everyday player. Sadly he was the best active player I could find from the area who can play 3rd base.

Finally, another good player. We saw the Westchester native rob the hopes and dreams of Phillies fans in the World Series. His catch was one of the best you will ever see in the World Series. Too bad it hurt his hometown team. Then he went on to have a very solid season in 2023. 22 HRs, 19 steals, and an OPS of .842. Not to mention a solid glove in the Outfield.

We finally come to the best player we have from the area. Trout’s career has taken a bit of a left turn with all the injuries he has suffered. But even with that, he is still among the league's best players. And at one point he was without a doubt the best player in the league. Were Trout a Phillies player, he would be in that Chase Utley category of not being able to do any wrong in the eyes of fans. He is a guy Phillies fans have coveted for years. And it would maybe be the only good thing that would come out of this hypothetical.  

And we are back to mediocrity. Like Gosselin, Jankowski was once a beloved role player for the Phillies. Well for a bit, until it became clear that he was not all that good and was eventually released. He had a couple of big moments here and continues to be a role player bouncing from team to team. And were he just a 4th or 5th OF, you could deal with him. But in this case, he is one of your starting Outfielders. Not great.

Paul Goldschmidt did not grow up a Phillies fan. But he was born in Wilmington Delaware. So he is a local even if he doesn’t like our Baseball team. And he is easily one of the best baseball players we have a claim to. Even at 35, he is still putting up numbers. He has a very good chance to pass 400 HRS. And that goes with his 4 gold gloves, his MVP, 7 All-Star Appearances, and 5 Silver Sluggers. Were he still in his prime, he would be the first baseman. But at this point, Walker has the better glove. So Goldy becomes a very good DH.

Well at the very least you have a great Ace. Gallen was a Cy Young Semi-Finalist. He struggled a bit more in the playoffs, especially against the Phillies. But still, he is one of the top pitchers in the MLB right now. He had a 3.47 ERA last year and a 2.54 ERA in 2022. No one would complain about him being your Ace. Unfortunately, the rest of the pitching staff is not quite so great.

Charlie was on the border between being more of a New York local or Philly local. But his hometown of Flemington NJ was just a tiny bit closer to Philly than to NYC, so he becomes the Phillies second starter behind Gallen. The 40-year-old has been a solid starter in the MLB for a while. Even last year he finished with an ERA under 4. Not exactly the ideal 2nd starter. But given the talent Pool the Philadelphia area has, we will take it.

In 2022 Ross Stripling was great, finishing with a 3.01 ERA while pitching in the AL East. Since then, and in most years before that, he was nowhere near that good. He turned that into a deal with the Giants, and his ERA ballooned to 5.36. Stripling was great in his first 4 seasons with the Dodgers. In each of those 4 seasons, his ERA was under 4. But in 3 of the 4 seasons since, his ERA was over 4, including 2 where it was over 5. Not ideal.

Porcello is out of the league. But in this hypothetical league where you can only use local players, he would probably still be around. Porcello put together a solid career. But in his ERA eclipsed 5.0 in each of his final seasons. The Phillies would be desperate though. There are not many great pitchers from our area to select from. So welcome back to the MLB Porcello.

Now we are really scrapping the bottom of the barrel. It is one thing to bring Rick Porcello, who was at one point a solid starter, out of retirement. It is another thing to take a guy who was never very good to begin with out of retirement. But he was the 5th best starter from our area I could find, who could feasibly still pitch. So here we are. Gallen, Morton, Stripling, Porcello, and Biddle is your rotation. The top 3 would not be the worst top 3 of a rotation in the league.

Well, maybe their bullpen can make up for the starters? Not likely. The bullpen they would put together would make those Gabe Kapler bullpens from a few years ago look great. Chad Kuhl was the best guy I could find that Philly would have a claim to. Chad Kuhl. If you are wondering who that is, you are not alone. Kuhl had an ERA over 8, and a WHIP just below 2 this season. And he is the best guy I could find. The other options would all be guys from the Minor Leagues mostly.