6 Numbers That Tell The Story of Eagles Close Win Over Jags

• 158.3

  Let’s start with the good. It was a 4th straight great game for Jalen Hurts. He has not amassed huge passing yards over this span. But look deeper and you will see just how great he has been. Take his performance on deep balls this week. He threw 4 passes of at least 20 yards on Sunday. He was a perfect 4 of 4 with 2 TDs. It gave him a perfect rating of 158.3 on those deep throws. It was also a 4th straight week with no turnover-worthy plays.

  Not to mention he is running like it is 2022 again. He picked up 3 first downs with his legs, a rushing TD, and 5.1 yards per carry. This is the best he has looked in a while. Hurts looks like he is in complete control of this offense, and has had wow throws every week. Devonta Smith gets the credit for this play because he deserves it, but it was also a great throw by Hurts.

  NFL on X (formerly Twitter): "OH MY DEVONTA. ON 3RD AND 22. UNBELIEVABLE CATCH.📺: #JAXvsPHI on CBS/Paramount+📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/N2wD3Nlfxf / X"

  OH MY DEVONTA. ON 3RD AND 22. UNBELIEVABLE CATCH.📺: #JAXvsPHI on CBS/Paramount+📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/N2wD3Nlfxf

• 6

  Jalen Carter got off to a bit of a slow start in the first couple of games. But it is safe to say he has found his groove. Carter did not register a sack on Sunday, but this is why sacks are a bit overrated. What he did do was amass a new career-high 6 pressures on 33 pass rush snaps. Half of those pressures came while being double-teamed. Those pressures came mostly against Brandon Scherf who is one of the most dependable Offensive Guards in the league. According to Next Gen Stats, he had not allowed 4 pressures in a game to any player for the past 7 years. Then he had to play against Jalen Carter and that streak was snapped.

  The thing that separates great DTs from good ones is the ability to beat double teams. Good ones will draw those double teams, and open things up for other players, but they won’t always beat them. Great players draw them, make things easier for their team, and also still get after the QB. That is what Aaron Donald did, it is what Fletcher Cox used to do, and now it is what Jalen Carter does. He is a disruptive force, and his pressures have led to sacks for other players.

  Dave Zangaro on X (formerly Twitter): "Eagles DT Jalen Carter had a big game against the Jaguars. He had a career-high 6 pressures on 33 pass rush snaps, including 3 pressures against double teams, per @NextGenStats / X"

  Eagles DT Jalen Carter had a big game against the Jaguars. He had a career-high 6 pressures on 33 pass rush snaps, including 3 pressures against double teams, per @NextGenStats

• 9

  Let’s get to Nick Sirianni. Because his decisions were poor all game long. He passed up 2 chances for an easy FG and went for two 3 times. That is 9 points left on the board. By just taking those points, it would be a 37-23 win instead of 28-23.

  Now I dont think it is fair to say he should have taken the easy points every time. Going for it has benefits. We saw from the Jaguars the downside of being too conservative. He punted on 4 and 3 on the other side of the 50 in the 4th quarter while down 5. The Eagles then marched down the field and scored a TD to make it a 2 score game. Doug should have gone for it there.

  We also saw against the Giants that when these go-for-it situations work, it can lead to huge point swings. Nick went for it on 3 4th downs vs the Giants. All 3 led to TDs. If he had just kicked the FGs, or punted, they would have scored 15 fewer points. Suddenly an easy 28-3 win is a tight 13-3 game. There are moments, but the mistake Sirianni made is the mistake gamblers make in casinos every day. You keep doubling down to try to make your money back because it failed early. He should have adjusted and started taking the points after the defense stopped him a few times.

  If he had kicked just 1 of those FGs, specifically the 2nd one where they could have gone up 9 points, and kicked the PAT on one of those 3 tries, it is a 9-point lead on that final drive and they aren’t sweating at all. Nick needs to make better choices. He can’t just go the opposite way and never be aggressive, though that is what some fans seem to want. But he needs to be smarter about when to be aggressive, and when to just take the points.

  Get Up on X (formerly Twitter): ""I love Philadelphia's team, I don't trust the coach. I think this is the only legit playoff contender with a coach as a question mark."-@danorlovsky7 on Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni 😯 pic.twitter.com/Sq5JgUjrXD / X"

  "I love Philadelphia's team, I don't trust the coach. I think this is the only legit playoff contender with a coach as a question mark."-@danorlovsky7 on Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni 😯 pic.twitter.com/Sq5JgUjrXD

   

• 56.3%

  There were 16 snaps on defense that were considered run defense. The Jags technically had 18 runs, but 2 were pass plays that turned into scrambles, so the Eagles were not actually playing the run. On those 16 snaps, the Eagles got 9 stops. A stop is any run play that results in a negative result for the offense. What that actually means varies by situation, but pretty much you either held them to a minimal gain, no gain, or the offense loses yards. That is a success rate of 56.3%.

  This run defense has looked good several weeks in a row now. They were struggling going into the bye week, and often getting too apart on the ground. But now teams are getting nothing against them. They are making offenses one-dimensional. And as we will talk about next, the secondary is also stopping teams through the air.

  Dylan MacKinnon on X (formerly Twitter): "The Eagles defense had 16 run defense snaps yesterday. 9 of those 16 were considered "Stops" which means they were non-productive plays for the offense. Over half the time, the run defense won. This run defense is suddenly a force. / X"

  The Eagles defense had 16 run defense snaps yesterday. 9 of those 16 were considered "Stops" which means they were non-productive plays for the offense. Over half the time, the run defense won. This run defense is suddenly a force.

   

   

• 7

  Quinyon Mitchell is out there all game long on defense. Teams have the chance to take advantage of him if there was anything to take advantage of. He is the main CB, especially when Slay is out, and is often on the other team’s best weapon. Which makes it crazy that in the past 4 weeks, he has allowed just 7 catches. Amari Cooper, Malik Nabers, Ja’Marr Chase, Brian Thomas… He is drawing some tough matchups, and he is not blinking.

  You could have watched the game on Sunday, and not noticed him. That is how good he is. Teams hardly even try him anymore. He is a rookie, and teams have looked away from him 8 games into his career. The Eagles got something special in him. They also have something special in Cooper DeJean, who continues to excel as the slot corner. That is a dynamic pair of young corners, that the Eagles have for at least 4 seasons. Suddenly this once-weak secondary looks like a major strength for the foreseeable future.

  

• 4

  There has been a lot of negativity around the Eagles. But it is important to have perspective. Are there concerns? Sure. But there are concerns for a lot of teams. As it stands, only 4 teams have a better record than the Eagles. Two of those teams are only better because they played 1 more game. Only the Chiefs and Lions are ahead of them by a full game or more. They are one of the best teams in the league, even with Nick Sirianni’s mistakes.

  They also have a lot of winnable games left on the schedule. The Cowboys look like a mess, and they get them twice, including this week without Dak Prescott and maybe without Cee Dee Lamb. They also get the Panthers, the Rams, and the Giants again. You can easily see this team getting to 12-5, and maybe 13-4.