Moving Kyle Schwarber Down The Lineup Won’t Fix The Phillies
The Phillies are in a tailspin. They haven’t been a good baseball team for a couple of months now. And when a team nosedive like this, people look for any desperate move they can to try and pull them out of it. Fire the hitting coach, jumble the lineup, bench the star player. A popular one I have heard is moving Kyle Schwarber down the lineup.
The problem is, that makes no sense. Any move they make has to be based in logic. Changing something just to change it won’t fix the problem. Right now, Kyle Schwarber is the furthest thing from the problem for the Phillies. In fact I would argue Kyle Schwarber, Alec Bohm, and Nick Castellanos are the only hitters doing their job.
Kyle Schwarber’s Great Numbers Leading Off
The nose dive started with the trip to London. I am not saying that trip is why they are bad, it is just the point where you can see a major difference in their play.
Well since then, Schwarber is hitting .281/.425/.629/1.054. He has 16 HRs, 38 RBIs, and 40 BBs since London. The stats say he is their best hitter in that time, and modern baseball says you hit your best hitter leadoff.
This season he has a slash line of .283/.389/.642/1.030 leading off games. That includes a league-leading 11 leadoff HRs, 3 shy of the All-Time record. He is among the best hitters in the league leading off games.
You know the old saying you don’t fix what isn’t broken. That is the one part of the Phillies lineup that without a doubt works. The problem is the two highest-paid players are terrible right now. Bryce Harper showed signs here and there of breaking out, but is still not himself. And Trea Turner looks like he did in the first 4 months of last season again.
That is your problem. If those two don’t hit, this team will not win anything. Even with Schwarber, Castellanos, and Bohm actually all hitting pretty well right now, those two struggling are an anchor around this team’s necks. Moving Schwarber down won’t fix that
If Not Kyle Schwarber, Then Who?
resumably, you are moving the guy hitting .186/.210/.253/.463 over the last 30 days into the leadoff spot. Trea Turner is not a good leadoff hitter right now. He isn’t even a good 9th hitter right now. Do you want to reward him for poor play? Give him even more at-bats, and the guy who is your best hitter fewer?
If not Turner, then who else? Nick Castellanos is your 2nd best hitter right now, but I doubt anyone wants him to leadoff. Bryce Harper hates leading off and has only been slightly better than Turner in the last 30 days. Stott hasn’t hit well all season long. Marsh is a mess at the plate. So who?
Kyle Scharber is their best option. Let me correct that because just saying he is their best option makes it sound like it is by default. Kyle Schwarber is a great leadoff hitter. It might not be traditional, but the numbers don’t lie. People who don’t like it are simply stuck in the past and can’t think of a leadoff hitter as anything other than the fastest guy on the team.
Kyle Schwarber Is Not The Problem
No amount of lineup tinkering is going to change the fact they simply need their other stars to play better. Harper and Turner to start, but also Aaron Nola who has hit a wall, Ranger Suarez has been injured and, the top guys in the bullpen are struggling.
On a list of the top 100 problems for the Phillies, Kyle Schwarber hitting leadoff wouldn’t even appear because it is not a problem. The hotdogs being too soggy is a bigger reason for their struggles than anything to do with Kyle Schwarber. It is just the default thing people fall back on because they don’t want to point the finger to the actual problem.
There are small lineup changes they can and should make. For one, lefty/righty be damned, I am not hitting Stott or Marsh 5th anymore. If anything those two should be 8th and 9th because they have shown no ability to hit the ball consistently.
But if you are advocating to move Kyle Schwarber down, you are just saying things for the sake of it. There is no logic or thought behind that move.