Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Odds, Spread, and Totals
The Houston Rockets will head back on the road with a chance to even up their playoff series against the Golden State Warriors. Game 5 was Houston’s best performance of…
HOUSTON, TEXAS – APRIL 30: Brandin Podziemski #2 of the Golden State Warriors drives to the basket past Alperen Sengun #28 of the Houston Rockets during the third quarter in Game Five of the Western Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Toyota Center on April 30, 2025 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images)
The Houston Rockets will head back on the road with a chance to even up their playoff series against the Golden State Warriors. Game 5 was Houston's best performance of the series, as Warriors head coach Steve Kerr moved his starters to the bench midway through the third quarter in the midst of what ended as a 15-point loss.
Defense wins championships, as the old adage says. The Rockets added more support to the old saying in Game 5, putting forth a truly elite defensive showing against a Golden State offense that had previously been hitting its stride. Forward Amen Thompson had five steals and three blocks, helping facilitate a defense that consistently bogged down any effort to generate efficient half-court offense from the Warriors. Jimmy Butler and Stephen Curry were held to a combined 21 points, a truly absurd statistic that will be nearly impossible to replicate in Game 6.
A big worry for Golden State was the fatigue that a long series entails. That concern was somewhat alleviated in Game 5, as Curry, Butler, and Draymond Green hardly played in the second half, essentially giving them a night of rest. Now, the Warriors return to their home floor with a chance to put away a Rockets team that shot abnormally well from the field in Game 5.
Spread
- Rockets +5.5 (-109)
- Warriors -5.5 (+101)
Moneyline
- Rockets +200
- Warriors -222
Totals
- Over 204.5 (-118)
- Under 205.5 (-110)
*The above data was collected on May 2, 2025, and may have changed since writing.
Rockets vs Warriors Betting Trends
- The Rockets are 23-18-1 ATS when playing on the road.
- The Rockets are 27-25-1 ATS in games they play following a win.
- The over is 13-8 in games in which Houston enters as a home underdog.
- The Warriors are 21-12-2 ATS in games following a loss.
- The Warriors are 14-19-1 ATS as home favorites.
- The over is 18-16 when the Warriors are home favorites.
Rockets vs Warriors Injury Reports
Houston Rockets
- No injuries of note.
Golden State Warriors
- Jonathan Kuminga, F — Out.
Rockets vs Warriors Predictions and Picks
Jason Logan of Covers writes, "Kerr's decision to bail on Game 5 gives his starters extra rest before their return home. It also gives those standouts plenty to prove. Golden State is a playoff-savvy team and knows it can't afford a Game 7 back in Houston. I like the Dubs to slam the door and win Game 6."
The Warriors will likely ice the series here, but picking their moneyline is not exactly a sharp financial decision. Golden State is a sizable favorite, making it essentially unplayable. Instead, it is best to look at the spread. The Rockets have been consistently inconsistent in a variety of areas throughout the series, which should continue in this game. Houston will shoot worse from three, soften up defensively, and crack as they face an experienced, relatively well-rested Warriors team that is playing on their home court. Golden State should earn a dominant win and a ticket to the second round in tonight's game.
