The Eagles Are Worth Betting The Over On… 2 to 3 Times
As the 2024 regular season dawns on a Friday evening in Brazil, we will get to see the plan of Howie Roseman unfold. Just a year after that painful Super Bowl loss, the Eagles of 2023 collapsed in a historic fashion after November. We don’t need to re-litigate a 10-1 defending NFC Champion team spiraling into an 11-6 mess. We do need to see a different Eagles team quickly out of the gate. They need to change our opinions and erase the terrible memory we all lived through. I’m ready to go on the record with my season prediction, but have a few things I want to declare first!
Don’t Pull The “I’ll Wait Till The post season” nonsense
If you are a 76ers fan that is tired of having regular season success flame out in the second (or even the first round) of the playoffs I fully understand this rationale. If you’re an Eagles fan you can take that sorry ass reasoning elsewhere. I’m not here for it. The Eagles organization has consistently delivered a higher caliber product and you have seen post season success. If you see this team get off to a good start, don’t drag out with the “wait and see” stuff. This team has competent leadership at the coordinator positions and the roster has been revamped. Expect different results!
Don’t trust the Strength of Schedule statistic
According to the Strength of Schedule statistic the Eagles have the 6th easiest path offered by the NFL. Don’t believe that for a second! The SOS statistic is based off of last seasons results. Every year the NFL turns over about 40% of the playoff teams. That tells you that last season matters only for the powerhouse squads.
Secondly, it doesn’t take into consideration WHERE games are played. Playing a good team on the road is much harder than playing them in your stadium. Thirdly, with injuries occurring at different times you never know if you will benefit or be hurt by a star player missing a game.
Now on to the prediction!
I’ll break them into definite wins, hard to predict outcomes and what I see as sure fire losses.
The 11 Definite wins
The Falcons will be improved but aren’t ready to win in prime time with Kirk Cousins in the Eagles home opener
The Saints are going to have a Top 6 pick in next years draft,
The Buccaneers are owed a butt whooping after last years playoff win. Write it down.
The Browns are a nice defensive team but the Eagles coming home after that long time off is money.
The Giants in NJ are another team owed a beat down. I’ll be there to witness it.
The Jaguars on Sunday Night Football won’t be up to the upset challenge
The Commanders on a short week (Thursday night) at home…yes please
The Panthers will be Jockeying for draft position in December
The Steelers will be on their way to Mike Tomlinson first losing record, the Eagles might just be loss number 9!
The Commanders will be spunky but won’t have enough of The Grinch in them to win on December 22
The Cowboys get thumped in South Philly to close out 2024!
The 3 “Too Close to Call Games”
The Eagles are a better team than the Packers. I’m expecting them to find a way to hold off the upstarts from Wisconsin. It is still far too difficult to guarantee anything.
The Rams are going to be good but I don’t think they will be a better team than the Eagles. This game may go over 70 points scored and could land either way.
The Week 18 game vs the Giants may be a rest the starters game for the Eagles, so I won’t pencil it in as a guaranteed win
The 3 Guaranteed Losses
The 6-0 (or 5-1) Eagles will lose a heartbreaker vs the Bengals in Cincinnati
The Cowboys and Eagles usually split the season series. I expect this one to be the loss.
The Ravens will win a hard fought battle on Sunday Night Football.
How to bet the season total over/under of 10.5 wins
On my BetParx app I immediately placed an over 10.5 wins wager and then after examining the schedule in depth I placed another wager over 11.5 wins. What the hell, I’m doing it. I saw the record as 11-3 with 3 toss up games. The Eagles are going to be a minimum of 12-5 and could be 13-4. I’m feeling ballsy and am taking an over 12.5 win bet. I hope that Week 18 doesn’t cost me! Enjoy the season! Please spend it every weekday morning with “Kincade and Salciunas”!
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