Birds Rise To #4 In NFL Power Rankings

1. Kansas City Chiefs

2017 record: 5-0
Week 5 ranking: No. 1

99.4 percent chance. No team is ever a lock to make the playoffs after five games, but the Chiefs are pretty close right now. They are undefeated, lead the NFL in scoring and haven't committed a turnover since the very first snap of the season. They have the best chances in the NFL through Week 5.

2. Green Bay Packers

2017 record: 4-1
Week 5 ranking: No. 2

84.1 percent chance. Where would the Packers be without Aaron Rodgers? He has thrown an NFL-best six touchdowns in the fourth quarter this season, and four of the six TDs have come with his team trailing. Green Bay has the fifth-best overall chances of making the playoffs.

3. Atlanta Falcons

2017 record: 3-1
Week 5 ranking: No. 3

65.6 percent chance. The Falcons have a strong chance of making the playoffs as is, but they need to take advantage of a struggling Dolphins team at home this week. Why? Because after that, they play four of the next five on the road, with trips to New England, Carolina and Seattle.

4. Philadelphia Eagles

2017 record: 4-1
Week 5 ranking: No. 8

86.0 percent chance. The Eagles have the best playoff chances in the NFC team by a a nose (one-tenth of a percent). What has the Eagles soaring? Ball control. They've converted a league-best 53 percent of third downs, and they've averaged a league-best 35 minutes, 32 seconds of possession this season.

5. New England Patriots

2017 record: 3-2
Week 5 ranking: No. 7

91.9 percent chance. Even with a below-average defense and two early losses, the Patriots' offense has been so good that New England has the second-best overall chance of making the playoffs. The Bills and Jets also are 3-2, but the Patriots are still the team to beat in the AFC East.

6. Carolina Panthers

2017 record: 4-1
Week 5 ranking: No. 13

67.4 percent chance. Cam Newton is completing 68 percent of his passes this season, and he has thrown for 300 yards and three touchdowns in consecutive games for the first time in his career. His performance has the Panthers with the fourth-best chances of making the playoffs in the NFC.